There’s certainly nothing about Charlie that I dislike. I’m probably still voting for the Republican candidate, however distasteful voting for Vitter might be. What do you think of Melancon’s chances against Honore, assuming that rumor turns out to be true?
I don’t believe the question, at least for now, should be about Melancon’s chances against Honore; I think the question should be about Honore’s chances against Vitter in a Republican primary.
Personally, I think Honore would crush Vitter in a two-way primary, perhaps keeping Vitter under 45 percent (crush is relative, but an incumbent losing a primary with under 45 percent is pretty bad). The “powers that be” might allow it to be close, should Honore be unable to raise as much money as Vitter already has stockpiled. Even so, I wouldn’t be surprised if early internal polling even chases Vitter out of the race.
CenLamar 
Lamar,
There’s certainly nothing about Charlie that I dislike. I’m probably still voting for the Republican candidate, however distasteful voting for Vitter might be. What do you think of Melancon’s chances against Honore, assuming that rumor turns out to be true?
I don’t believe the question, at least for now, should be about Melancon’s chances against Honore; I think the question should be about Honore’s chances against Vitter in a Republican primary.
Personally, I think Honore would crush Vitter in a two-way primary, perhaps keeping Vitter under 45 percent (crush is relative, but an incumbent losing a primary with under 45 percent is pretty bad). The “powers that be” might allow it to be close, should Honore be unable to raise as much money as Vitter already has stockpiled. Even so, I wouldn’t be surprised if early internal polling even chases Vitter out of the race.
Maybe I’m overally optimistic…