This was an internal poll done on behalf of the Carmouche campaign by the Kitchens Group:
Paul Carmouche (D): 45
John Fleming (R): 35
Here it is — the first publicly-released poll of this race. Lots of undecideds here, but Carmouche begins the race with an edge, retaining a 53-16 favorable rating.
A strong field operation will be crucial in this race, as both sides expect that turnout will be poor. We can also expect a fierce air war here — Fleming is a wealthy physician and businessman, and surely he’ll be ponying up more of his own dough in the coming weeks. The NRCC also needs something to crow about, so they’ve reserved $330K in air time on Fleming’s behalf. No word yet on how heavy the DCCC plans to spend here, but they’ve already dropped $77,000 against Fleming over the weekend.
And, in an interesting development in LA-06, in case you missed it, Ryan’s got a smoking gun posted on his website– pictures of Michael Jackson and Bill Cassidy meeting on Friday at a Baton Rouge coffee shop.