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Archive for November 1st, 2012

My Predictions

Update: I somehow had South Dakota listed in the Obama column. Ooops. I fixed it.

I don’t blame the well-paid political pundits or the well-regarded statisticians, but only five days remaining, Presidential campaigns will no longer be marketing to those elusive undecided voters. At this point,  this now is a ground game. Here is my projection, and though, I may be wrong on a couple of states, President Barack Obama maintains clear path for  re-election:

Although in this model, if Obama won Florida and/or Ohio, he’d still win, which means Romney could only win by capturing practically every other swing state. And look, I know some of you may be scratching your heads over North Carolina and Florida. Romney does seem well ahead in North Carolina, but early voting is apparently way, way up, which is encouraging for Obama. And Florida remains a dead heat. It’s anyone’s guess at this point.

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